Fixed-fraction comparison
Assume every losing trade loses the full planned amount and risk is recalculated from current equity.
The formula is:
drawdown = 1 − (1 − risk fraction)^number of losses
These figures exclude fees, slippage, gaps, correlation, and simultaneous positions. Actual losses can be larger.
Recovery requirement
A 9.6% drawdown requires approximately a 10.7% gain on the remaining equity to recover. A 40.1% drawdown requires approximately 67.0%. Higher risk therefore changes both the immediate loss and the difficulty of returning to the prior peak.Winning sequences
Five-percent risk also magnifies gains when outcomes are favorable. That does not make it superior: the same multiplier applies to estimation error and adverse variance. The relevant comparison includes expected logarithmic growth, drawdown distribution, risk of failure, and the trader’s constraints.Prop-account interpretation
If a nominal USD 100,000 account has a USD 10,000 maximum-loss allowance, 1% of nominal balance equals USD 1,000, or 10% of the total loss buffer. A small number of full losses can consume the account’s operating capacity even though the advertised percentage sounds conservative. Use the smallest size permitted by:- the strategy’s uncertainty;
- the remaining daily-loss buffer;
- the remaining maximum-loss buffer;
- total and correlated open risk;
- a reserve for execution error.
5% risk case study
Follow a 15-loss worked example.
How much should you risk?
Choose size from constraints rather than a universal rule.
Risk of ruin
Define the account’s failure boundary.
Daily vs maximum loss
Identify the binding prop-firm rule.
This comparison isolates position size. It does not forecast a strategy’s live sequence or recommend a risk percentage.